Tag: CSNC

  • BeiDou industry on path similar to GPS

    BeiDou industry on path similar to GPS

    The seventh China Satellite Navigation Conference (CSNC) met in May in Changsha, capital of Hunan province in south-central China. Chairman Mao attended high school and teaching college here, and the city has many monuments and stories about his younger days.

    This was the seventh different host city for CSNC, as the China Satellite Navigation Office (CSNO) spreads the prestigious conference among various provinces.

    The 2016 conference was every bit as big as last year’s in terms of number of attendees, papers presented, exhibit hall space and booths (77 exhibitors). I co-chaired the joint CSNC-Institute of Navigation (ION) panel with Dr. Jun Su. The session was well attended by both local Chinese experts and international visitors.

    The collaboration between these two large GNSS technical organizations is an excellent trend as both benefit from the cross-fertilization. This September, there will also be a joint CSNC-ION panel at ION GNSS+ in Portland.

    Industry Boom. The domestic Chinese satellite navigation industry is thriving, based on the growing availability of Beidou signals combined with the baseline GPS constellation. Government projects for a wide range of applications provide ample markets for domestic suppliers to build a solid business.

    In general, however, the high-volume cellular handset market is still the domain of the traditional global suppliers, not only because of their experience with high-volume applications, but also the trend toward handset vendors requiring a complete platform solution including modem.

    Startup companies seven years ago have grown into large, vertically integrated higher end suppliers, opening the low-cost, general purpose market sector for new entrants.
    CSNC shows that startup companies seven years ago have grown into large, vertically integrated higher end suppliers, opening the low-cost, general purpose market sector for new entrants.

    I noticed a corresponding cyclic trend in the domestic industry, which is similar to the way the GNSS business evolved in other regions. The initial entrants, who were small startups seven years ago, have become relatively large, vertically integrated companies supplying higher end, higher value systems. Most of these are in the agriculture, fleet tracking and survey industry, and many of them are now publicly traded companies. This has opened up the low-cost, more general-purpose portion of the market for new entrants.

    Several of those new companies were founded by people who have left their initial startups on acquisition to start again. Although this industry is somewhat geographically isolated market-wise (they service mostly domestic customers), the parallels to way the GPS market developed 15 years ago in the United States are absolutely uncanny.

    Perhaps in an industry based on cyclical orbits of satellites, it shouldn’t come as a big surprise that there is an overarching cyclical trend in the way markets develop around the world. I look forward to attending CSNC 2017 as it returns to Shanghai, site of the second CSNC in 2011.

  • Expert Advice: The Tigers Claim Their Territory

    Expert Advice: The Tigers Claim Their Territory

    Tigers-CSNC2015

    Report from the 2015 China Satellite Navigation Conference

    By Greg Turetzky

    This May, the sixth China Satellite Navigation Conference (CSNC) was held in Xian, site of China’s famous buried warrior tombs. This was the fourth time I have attended, and every year the event has grown in both attendance numbers and global importance.

    The conference opened with the usual provider updates on satellite systems and international collaboration. There was nothing truly unexpected. All the providers continue to make progress towards launching new satellites with new capabilities, as well as providing regional augmentation systems for aircraft navigation.

    The hosts were their usual gracious selves and put on a very entertaining evening at “The Night of Beidou” event with wonderful food as well as music, dancing and and acrobats.

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    Exhibit Hall

    The show floor continues to grow at a rapid rate. The program listed122 exhibitors. The market has clearly entered the rapid proliferation stage. The booths were large, well-staffed and busy even during times when technical sessions were in progress. It was hard for me to determine what kind of business was being conducted as there were not many booth staff that spoke English. However, that seemed very appropriate as it was clear that the Chinese domestic market for BeiDou, or BDS, is well established and growing.

    In fact, many of the booths were regionally sponsored as there seems to be plenty of local subsidization to grow the GNSS industry in all areas of China. Many companies were displaying end-user products for all segments, from watches to phones to automotive to survey. I also noted significant growth in the number of chipset suppliers; I stopped counting at 10. Of further note and interest, the first few mergers/partnerships have taken place, as the market starts to make its natural turn from proliferation to consolidation.

    Technical Sessions

    The technical content of the conference is impressive. Approximately 280 papers were presented in up to nine simultaneous tracks over three days. Another 100+ posters were available for viewing.

    Here are titles of a few of the papers I liked:

    • Analysis of relative positioning performance of BDS triple frequency
    • Anti-spoofing design for Civil Navigation Signal system
    • Clock-error resolution strategy and precision analysis of GNSS real-time precise satellites
    • Research on detection and identification methods of satellite navigation RAIM multi-satellite failures.
    • Research on Wi-Fi/INS indoor pedestrian navigation system based on environmental feature augmentation
    • Reflections on demands of BDS intellectual property rights in satellite navigation industries
    • Review of anti-interference RF of satellite navigation receivers
    • A new TOA estimation method for the navigation pulse of X-ray Pulsare.

    If you plan to visit next year, you should consider bringing a translator. Many of the sessions have simultaneous translation, and most of the presentations have both English and Chinese slides, but not all of them. In the past, I have always enjoyed the policy and IP session, but this year it did not have a translator and the presenters spoke in Chinese, so I cannot give you much information. I did notice that several other U.S. companies had sent representatives who were native Chinese speakers.

    Conclusion

    The Chinese market is now full of grown tigers. I think they worry more about domestic competition for large domestic opportunities than they do about foreigners taking market share from them. That kind of competition has spurred them to catch up quickly in terms of technology and performance to where the big foreign competitors are. I foresee intense domestic competition in the short term leading to fewer, bigger, stronger players who will then be well positioned to compete in the global marketplace.


    GREG TURETZKY is a principal engineer at Intel responsible for strategic business development in Intel’s Wireless Communication Group focusing on location. He has more than 25 years of experience in the GNSS industry at JHU-APL, Stanford Telecom, Trimble, SiRF and CSR. He is a member of GPS World’s Editorial Advisory Board. See his previous reporting on the 2014 CSNC, “Tigers, Tycoons on View at China Satnav,” and the 2013 conference, “Little Tigers versus Wolves.”

    The statements, views, and opinions presented in this article are those of the author and are not endorsed by, nor do they necessarily reflect, the opinions of the authors present and/or former employers or any other organization the author may be associated with.

  • Expert Advice: Tigers, Tycoons on View at China SatNav

    Expert Advice: Tigers, Tycoons on View at China SatNav

     

    CSNC-2

    Turetsky-calloutI attended the China Satellite Navigation Conference in Nanjing in May, the fifth year of CSNC and my third time attending. Tremendous progress was evident this year in terms of BeiDou (BDS) deployment and China’s general openness and willingness to collaborate over those years. I have also seen a slowly growing international presence at the show and expect that to continue to increase as well. You may recall my column last year about Little Tigers. Well, they aren’t so little any more. As for the tycoons, you will have to read to the end.

    The conference opened with the usual provider updates. Chenqi Ran, who runs the China Satellite Navigation Office, the lead government agency for BDS, started off. It’s always good to hear his update delivered in China, where the is a little more freedom to provide information beyond the standard pitch. China continues on pace to its plan for the third step of BDS with five geosynchronous-orbit, three inclined geosynchronous-orbit, and 27 mid-Earth orbit satellites for a worldwide system by 2020. They are meeting their stated goal of 10-meter accuracy regionally today, and as good as 5-meter near the Equator. Ran also provided interesting numbers for the fast-growing Chinese domestic market:

    • More than 2 million BDS chips sold in China in Q1
    • More than 300,000 vehicles equipped with BDS
    • 20 domestic brands offering car navigation systems
    • First consumer tablet (Samsung Galaxy Note 3) with BDS.
    • First consumer smartphone (Huawei B199) with BDS

    The updates from other providers (GPS, GLONASS, and Galileo) were relatively standard and did not contain much new information. I had hoped that maybe the Russian presentation would provide more information about the April outages, but nothing was forthcoming and I was not overly surprised.

    CSNC-4The conference itself is very well organized and runs nine parallel technical tracks over two full days, with additional special-interest sessions. All of the presentations are in Chinese, however the conference provides headsets for simultaneous translation, and many presenters have dual slide sets in Chinese and English, so it is easy to attend anything that seems interesting.

    I came as an invited speaker on the Institute of Navigation (ION) panel organized by Professor Jade Morton from Miami University, Ohio, and Professor Lu of the National Timing Service Center near Xian. The ION panel was well attended and included a short panel discussion at the end.

    One of the most interesting outcomes was that both Broadcom and Trimble showed approximately 25 percent accuracy improvement by adding Beidou to their existing GPS/GLONASS solutions. It was interesting not just because they reached the same number, but because Broadcomm was talking in meters about urban-canyon performance and Trimble was talking in centimeters about precise positioning.

    It became clear that everyone sees BDS as an important part of their roadmap at L1, regardless of how many frequencies they currently support. I must also note that both Professor Morton and Professor Lu were outstanding hosts and showed us some of the wonderful local sites.

    Exhibit Hall

    The biggest change from last year was in the exhibit hall. I would estimate the overall floor space grew by 50 percent, with 106 companies in specially designed booths (up from 56 last year) and another 44 in standard booths.

    The content change was even more dramatic. Last year there were a lot of small booths with pretty basic displays, mostly of prototypes and slideshows. This year, there were many more extremely large booths that were very professionally created. They had evolved into displaying very polished-looking finished products with nicely edited videos. It was clear that this was all targeted at domestic buyers, as it was difficult to find anyone on the show floor who spoke English (except in the Spirent booth). These are no longer little tigers. These are now real companies, out hunting for new business.

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    Policy and Intellectual Property

    My other favorite topic to listen to at this conference is on policy and intellectual property (IP). That is where I spent most of my time and was not disappointed. There was in fact an entire session dedicated to intellectual property, and several presentations on the global state of affairs of patents in GNSS.

    Interestingly, most of the speakers were either lawyers or from government, but there were some corporate ones as well. Several speakers highlighted the recent disagreement and settlement of the patent dispute between the United States and the United Kingdom over complex modulation patents. There was a large element of underlying concern that although the U.S. had been able to settle the dispute, it might be very hard for China if either the U.S. or the UK came after them. They had several charts showing how far behind they were in GNSS patents, in an effort to encourage local companies to create more IP and patent it. They also showed they have made significant progress in recent years in domestic Chinese patents, though they still have a long way to go in international patents.

    They were also very concerned about the largest holders of GNSS patents in China — Qualcomm and Broadcom — as a threat to domestic industry. They cited the GlobalLocate/Broadcom versus SiRF/CSR lawsuit as a cautionary tale. Several presenters showed the dominance of Broadcomm and Qualcomm in terms of domestic Chinese patent holdings and referred to them as the “Tycoons.” I envisioned Rich Uncle Moneybags, the guy from the Monopoly game wearing the top hat, walking around with patents instead of dollar bills hanging out of his hat.

    CSNC-1Conclusion

    The little tigers have definitely grown up. They are much bigger, have real teeth, and are definitely trying to stake out territory in the fast-growing domestic market. But the Tycoons still have the upper hand in the mass-market battle for consumer devices. For the moment, anyway.

    The Tycoons are going to have to start spending some of their bounty in China if they want to maintain that market share against rapidly evolving domestic competition. I won’t be surprised if next year we see the Tycoons exhibiting at CSNC, and soon after that, the tigers looking to expand their hunting ground into nearby markets in Korea, India, and Japan.


    Greg Turetzky is a principal engineer at Intel responsible for strategic business development in Intel’s Wireless Communication Group focusing on location. He has more than 25 years of experience in the GNSS industry at JHU-APL, Stanford Telecom, Trimble, SiRF, and CSR. He is a member of GPS World’s Editorial Advisory Board.

    The statements, views, and opinions presented in this article are those of the author and are not endorsed by, nor do they necessarily reflect, the opinions of the author’s present and/or former employers or any other organization the author may be associated with.