Author: Eric Gakstatter

  • Google Geospatial Technologist: “The End of GIS?”

    I ran across an opinion piece entitle “The creative Destruction of GIS” by Ed Parsons, a Geospatial Technologist at Google, published online by GIS Development. I have to admit that when I first scanned the piece, my face crinkled up with the “whhhhaaaaat?” sort of look.

    For a common frame of reference, you might want to click here and browse/read the article first before reading the rest of my column. I suppose its taboo to reference narrative in a competitive publication, but I was never one to follow the rules especially if I think the reader will benefit from the interaction.

    First off, I don’t know Ed and have never met him. He seems like a knowledgeable gent and from his bio, one can see he’s spent a fair amount of time in the geospatial industry. A friend of mine asked for my thoughts on his piece and I’ve seen it referenced in one or two other places so I thought I’d give it a whirl.

    After reading the article more thoroughly, it’s truly a sheep in wolf’s clothing (as opposed to the popular “wolf in sheep’s clothing”). Yes, its bark is worse than its bite. My guess is that an editor got a hold of the piece and inserted the eye-catching title “The creative destruction of GIS” and subtitles “The end of GIS?” and “The post-GIS future”.

    No Chicken Little, the GIS sky is not falling.

    To his credit, Ed paints a pretty good picture of the infancy of web publishing and Location-Based Services (LBS). But before we go there, let’s set the record straight about GIS. I think Ed wrote it just right:

    “…GIS, as described previously, is and will remain the domain of specialists,…”

    and

    “GIS as we recognise it today will not disappear.”

    I agree. The GIS industry, as we know it, is not going anywhere soon. It’s going to continue its moderate and healthy annual double-digit growth rate (save a few economic speed bumps along the way). The same software makers, in general, will dominate the GIS market and serve as a platform on which GIS’s are built for: fed/state/local government, natural resources, utilities, armed forces, transportation, engineering/surveying, yada, yada, yada.

    “What do these broad trends mean for the future of GIS? The focus of the industry is moving away for the creation/ maintenance of geospatial information to its exploitation.”

    Reading the above quote in his piece is one part where my face got a little crinkly. I beg to differ with that statement and here’s why…

    If my kids asked me which career has significant upside in the next ten years, I’d say GIS makes the list. What’s my claim based on? [Big sigh]….there is so much ground that GIS hasn’t covered yet; the industry is just beginning to mess around with 3D, the much-needed surveying+GIS collaboration has really just begun, and soooooo many paper records are still waiting to be entered into a GIS. The list is very extensive. On top of that, data collection technologies like remote sensing and GPS are improving substantially so better quality data will continue to be introduced. Of course, GIS is the engine and data is the fuel. We’ve got some pretty good engines available to us, but we are still lacking for fuel. Data is the name of the game so the idea that the industry is moving away from data creation and maintenance is a little absurd to me.

    In my opinion, data is the future of GIS. I’ll use the GPS analogy to illustrate this. When GPS was invented in the early 1970’s, the military creators never envisioned how it is being used today. Never in their wildest dreams did they think that civilian engineers would figure out a way to tap into the signal intended only for military users and be able to design a small GPS receiver that can deliver cm-level positioning in real-time. Similarly, ten years from now GIS will be used in ways we can’t envision today. The difference and what makes GIS more dynamic than GPS is that fundamentally, the GPS infrastructure hasn’t changed much in the last 15 years. Yes, there are new satellites and the L2C signal, but the change has been relatively small. Mind you, the user side of GPS has changed a lot.

    That’s not so for GIS. The GIS infrastructure (GIS software tools) has changed significantly as well as tools for the user side of GIS…and they will continue to change. In the coming years, new GIS tools will be developed, new data will be harness and new GIS applications will be developed. Just think about it…the United States, one of the most developed nations in the world, doesn’t even have a complete land record (parcel) database in a GIS yet and many local governments are still years away from it. Hi-resolution elevation contours? Not a chance. Just yesterday, I was searching for 2 foot contours of a 150 acre parcel (a park) in a major metropolitan area. Nothing. The best they made available to the public were 100’ contours in a pdf map. Mind you, I’m sure they had much better data in-house so part of the problem is data sharing policy but I really doubt they have 2 foot contour lines of the parcel. Just think of the analysis (eg. drainage) that could be done if 6” contours were available for every park, open space and developed area within a country. The good news is that it’s just a matter of time before that kind of detailed data is generated and available.

    Regarding web publishing and Location-Base Services (LBS), these are two areas that will go crazy. I’ve written quite a bit about LBS in the past. It’s a blank slate at this point and there’s a ton of entreprenurial energy being expended to find the sweet spots. Rest assured there will be many. But that’s not much to do with the future of GIS as we know it. Yes, serving GIS data to the public in a usable format is valuable and growing, but that’s not what Ed is writing about. What Ed’s piece really needs is to be separated from the GIS discussion. Web publishing and LBS for Joe Consumer is a huge topic and worthy of Google chasing after those segments, not GIS.

  • The Apple iPad Factor – Continued

    I received some mail about last week’s column on the Apple iPad announcement and I have also seen other comments on the web regarding the Apple iPad that I think are worth commenting on. Then, it’s just a matter of waiting to see how the market accepts the iPad once it starts shipping in Q2 of this year.

    Ruggedness (or lack thereof)

    Something that I intended to mention in my last column, but somehow escaped me at the time, was the subject of ruggedness. The iPad is not a rugged design. It’s a typical consumer electronic design that can only take a certain amount of punishment until it tanks. That’s quite different than a rugged notebook computer (tablet or otherwise) on the market today made by companies such as the Xplore Technologies, Panasonic, etc. I agree it’s an issue, but I’m not sure it is a major issue. I’m positive that a company or three will design a ruggedized case for the iPad. It may not make it waterproof, but it will keep it alive in the elements. We’ve seen this with HP calculators and PDAs over the years. Some companies like Otterbox have an entire business based on producing outdoor cases for indoor consumer electronics. Due to the iPad’s relatively low cost (compared to a rugged tablet/notebook computer), there’s $$ room for a ruggedized case for the iPad and you’d still have a reasonably rugged solution for under $1,000.

    No compelling reason to choose an iPad over a rugged tablet computer?

    One comment I read (relative to using the iPad in the geospatial industry) is that there is no compelling reason for someone to use an iPad rather than a rugged tablet computer that are available today.

    Yes there is….price. Actually, if it weren’t for the low price, I wouldn’t be spending much time thinking about the iPad.

                

    Price: US$4,500+                                                 Price: US$500-600

    Have you priced a ruggedized tablet computer lately? They are at least 4x the price of an iPad and some are 10x the price of an iPad. That’s a huge difference. Granted, with a rugged tablet computer, you get a true desktop-capable computer (Windows OS, etc.), but does the user really need that much capability in the field? I’ve got a semi-rugged tablet in my office that I use occasionally for field data collection, but it never fit into my day-to-day workflow as a desktop replacement because it just doesn’t have the horsepower I like in a desktop to run resource-hungry software like AutoCAD, ArcGIS, etc. Also, I’m really not comfortable carrying all the data I use on my desktop (e-mail, project files, etc.) into the field on a tablet computer. So, to pay a premium for that capability is not worth it for me. I’m interested in a dedicated field device.

    However, please don’t be confused. I’m not defending the iPad. It has its share of short-comings, the major one being the proprietary software development environment. It won’t run Microsoft Windows-based software so any GIS software for it will have to be created from scratch.

    With respect to the geospatial market, the big question still remains: Will the iPad succeed in the consumer electronics market? If it enjoys even 50 percent of the success of its little brother, the iTouch, then the proprietary software development issue will go away because GIS software companies will gamble on it and there will be plenty of GIS software available for it.

    The Steve Jobs Factor

    The killer sanfu for the geospatial industry is when an innovation comes along like the iPad gets the geospatial industry all hot and bothered, then fails in the consumer market and is discontinued. Think Apple Newton. I remember the USDA-NRCS was banking on the Newton (developing GIS data collection software for it) only to have the rug pulled out when it was discontinued. Keep in mind that the USDA-NRCS story referenced above was written with a positive spin on the Newton, but the NRCS had to be disappointed when it was discontinued.

    In my PDA vs. Tablet column last month, I stated that 2010 will be the year of tablet computers. Certainly, the iPad will be only one of many. However, the importance of the iPad announcement should not be underestimated. It has set the price/performance standard for others to follow. There will be tons of Google Android-based products and Microsoft Windows-based products introduced this year. Most will be smartphones because there is an instant market for those types of products. There will also be a handful (or three) of iPad-like products using Android or Windows Mobile that are not targeted at the smartphone market (even though they may have a smartphone radio built-in) looking for the next hot market niche that Steve Jobs has a reputation of uncovering.

    I contend that the iPad has the best chance of any consumer tablet due to its leverage with the iPod, iTouch and iPhone. I see (and others do too) Jobs doing the same thing with books (think ebooks) as he has done with iTunes. Some of his competitors aren’t even going to try to compete with Jobs.

    Acer, who reportedly shipped 31 million notebook computers in 2009, won’t develop a competitive product to the iPad.

    Taiwan-based DigiTimes published an online article with a statement from Acer President Scott Lin saying that Acer will not develop an iPad-like product because they don’t have the ability to carve a niche like Apple does.

    An eBook Reader

    Any new product introduced needs to have a killer application for it to serve. That’s not so clear with the iPad. It’s a multi-function device. Some say that its value as an eBook reader will help boost its acceptance in addition to leveraging off of the iPod/iTouch/iPhone.

    Here is an interesting article on eBook reader predictions for 2010. But others says the iPad version 1 isn’t a serious eBook contender due to its bright LED backlit screen…too bright to stare at for long periods of time.

    So, I’ll leave it right here. There’s not much more to write about the iPad until the product is introduced and we see what kind of momentum builds.

    GPS/GIS Webinar

    On another note, I’ll be conducting a 60-minute webinar next week (Thursday, February 18) titled “GPS for GIS — 101.” It’s an introduction to the basic concepts of using GPS for GIS mapping. I’ve in
    vited Craig Greenwald to be a guest commentator, so the banter between he and I should be entertaining and informative. I’ve known Craig (and even worked with him at one point) for many years. Craig worked on the ESRI ArcPad team for several years and has a practical background in GPS mapping. He’s spent time on a four-wheeler so he’s done his time in the dirt. The webinar is free. You can sign up by clicking here.

    Thanks and have a great week.

     

    Follow me on Twitter at http://twitter.com/GPSGIS_Eric

  • GPS 24+3 Configuration: A Closer Look

    In the few years I’ve been writing this column, very few subjects have warranted back-to-back newsletter coverage. The new GPS 24+3 onfiguration is one of them. The reason I’ve continued with this discussion is because it will significantly affect your GPS operations, especially if you’re using RTK or DGPS.

    What is the new 24+3 GPS configuration?

    If you didn’t read my last column, you might want to read it so you have a common frame of reference. Essentially, the effect of the 24+3 configuration will be to increase the visibility of more GPS satellites throughout the day at a given location. In addition to have more satellites in view, you will generally see lower PDOP values which can result in an increase in accuracy; but certainly the increased satellite visibility is the major upside with 24+3.

    Remember that the GPS satellites are configured in 6 orbital planes (A, B, C, D, E, F) with X number of satellites in each plane that are referred to as “slots.” For example, slot A1 is the first satellite in the A plane, slot B4 is the fourth satellite in the B plane. Note that the slots aren’t necessarily in numerical order. Following is a graphic presented by the U.S. Air Force in September 2009 to provide an illustration of the planes, and slots within each plane. GLAN is the Geographic Longitude of the Ascending Node.

    On the graphic above, note that many of the satellites are paired together. When GPS satellites are paired together, there is little benefit to the user on the ground because the satellites aren’t “spread out”. Ideally, the user on the ground needs the satellites to be “spread out” in the sky which will result in a lower PDOP value (better constellation geometry) and ultimately better accuracy. The satellites are in this configuration today because GPS policy defines a 21+3 configuration. Since there are 30 operational GPS satellites in orbit (six more than required), the six spares are placed near other operational satellites. This isn’t optimal for the user on the ground.

    The concept behind the 24+3 configuration is to spread out the satellites more than the current configuration to benefit users on the ground. This involves significantly repositioning three GPS satellites (SVN24, SVN26, SVN49) and slightly repositioning three other GPS satellites (SVN56, SVN46, SVN55).

    Following is a tabular listing of each slot in the 21+3 configuration. Please note that the graphic above is a rough graphic for illustration purposes (referencing GLAN) while the tabular data below are the actual values.

     

     

    Notes:

    Epoch: 00:00:00 UTC, 1 July 1993
    Greenwich Hour Angle: 18h 36m 14.4s
    Orbital Slot IDs are Arbitrarily Numbered
    * Orbital Slots Marked by an Asterisk are Expandable

     

    In the 24+3 configuration, slots B1, D2, F2 are split to B1F/B1A, D2F/D2A, and F2F/F2A. The F designation is Fore and the A designation is Aft.

    Following is the tabular data for the expanded slots:

    On the B plane, SVN49 is repositioning to slot B1F while SVN56 is moving slightly to slot B1A.

    On the D plane, SVN24 is repositioning to slot D2F while SVN46 is moving slightly to slot D2A.

    On the F plane, SVN26 is repostioning to slot F2F while SVN55 is moving slightly to slot F2A.

    You can refer to the graphic at the beginning of this article to reference the current location (approximate) of each SVN as well as the slot id. The SVN number is to the left of the symbol while the slot id is to the right.

    SVN24 has the furthest distance to travel. It began its journey late last month and will arrive in January 2011. SVN49 and SVN26 will both arrive at their destination slots in May 2010.

    If they were in a hurry, the satellite travel time could be reduced, but according to folks I’ve spoken to they have to conserve fuel. After the satellite reaches its destination slot, it must have enough fuel to occasionally maneuver as well as retain enough fuel for an end of life boost which could happen many years in the future.

    The description of 24+3 configuration is detailed in the September 2008 release of the Global Positioning System Standard Positioning Service Performance Standard document. You’ll see this is the source of the two tables I’ve shown above.

     

    Exactly how many more GPS satellite will my receiver “see”?

    I was hoping to publish satellite visibility charts in this column for different regions of the world to illustrate the upside of 24+3. This is where the “rubber meets the road.” I’ve been experimenting with a modified GPS almanac in satellite visibility software to generate these, but I want to confirm the accuracy of the plots before I publish them. I’m close, but not quite there yet.

    Also, I want to publish a separate satellite visibility chart for DGPS users. Remember from my last column that SVN49 is a tricky one. It’s still unhealthy since it was launched into orbit last March. Most likely, it will never be usable by SBAS (WAAS, EGNOS, MSAS) and DGPS receivers and will effectively reduce the 24+3 configuration to a 24+2 configuration for those users. Mind you, even if SVN49 is not usable by SBAS and DGPS, the new configuration will still be an improvement over the current configuration.

    Look for continuing coverage on the 24+3 configuration. It will be the most relevant GPS topic for day-to-day GPS users in 2010.

    Follow me on Twitter at http://twitter.com/GPSGIS_Eric

  • The Apple iPad Factor

    Last month, I wrote about the PDA vs. Tablet war. The tablet computer has been around for a long time and struggled to gain widespread acceptance. I also wrote about how 2010 will be a decisive year for the tablet computer.

    I guess my timing was right: with the introduction of the Apple iPad last week, 2010 sure has started out with a bang! Admittedly, we’ve known about the iPad for awhile and I even mentioned it in the PDA vs. Tablet column, but didn’t expect the hype to appear for another month or so.

    The iPad might turn out to be a technology that transforms the geospatial industry. The iPhone has made inroads into geospatial, but the iPad is another story altogether primarily because it’s not a mutually exclusive proposition. For example, I’m not an iPhone user and won’t be in the foreseeable future. This is not because I dislike the iPhone. On the contrary, I might like to have one. But all my family phones (parents, kids, spouse) are all under my Sprint account. The pain to change is too great.

    The iPad is a different story. Its primary function is not a phone. I could see myself purchasing an iPad, especially at $500-600. I’d use it not only as a digital notebook, but also as a mobile GIS device.

    Apple iPad announced last week

     

    There will be a lot of debate in the consumer market about which features were included and which features were left out. But, from a geospatial industry technical perspective, I don’t think that matters. It’s got a large color screen (big assumption that it’s outdoor readable), runs 10 hours on a charge, runs third-party applications (albeit not a Microsoft platform) and can interface to a GPS receiver (or use its own). That covers 90 percent of the battle.

    The most important indicator to watch is the iPad’s acceptance in the consumer market. Honestly, I can’t figure out if it’s going to be a Newton or an iTouch. Obviously, it’s too early to say. For the iPad to be a success in the geospatial industry, it’s got to reach the success of the iTouch, of which Apple has sold ~31 million units. The geospatial industry will never support the development of a product like the iPad at the $500 price point. There’s just not enough market size to justify it. The geospatial industry needs to ride the wave of consumer market acceptance to benefit from a product like the iPad.

    Acceptance of the iPad by the consumer market could produce marked changes in the geospatial industry. The devices would be readily available and might become a default unit for mobile GIS given the low price point and attractive features. It might even be considered a disruptive technology because it would bring an entirely new host of applications and application development tools to the geospatial industry for mobile GIS.

    Changing Gears to Geospatial ETL

    I want to touch quickly on the subject of geospatial ETL. I have to admit I was a little ignorant about the geospatial ETL (Extract, Transform, Load) industry…and I still am, albeit a little more aware than I was before. The funny thing is that for many years I’ve been dealing with one of the problems that ETL software is designed to solve.

    ETL is an acronym for Extract, Transform, Load. These are software tools that facilitate the extraction, transformation, and loading between software systems. Spatial ETL is the same but focused on ETL between geospatial systems.

     

    Wisdom Technologies Fast Reader

     

    I’ve personally run into this problem many times with mapping projects I’ve worked on. I’ve spent countless hours updating maps of the same project that I maintain in both AutoCAD and ArcView/ArcGIS. Yes, I’ve been down the road of importing DWG files into ArcView/ArcGIS and trying to make that work, and I did to some extent, but never to the point that I could abandon one in favor of the other. Granted, if my projects were large enough, I would investigate this further, but generally they aren’t.

     

    Snowflake Software GML Viewer

     

    The players in the Spatial ETL space are ESRI (ArcGIS Data Interoperability Extension), Dotted EyesGeokettlePCI GeomaticsSafe SoftwareSnowflake SoftwareSpatialDataIntegrator, and WisdomForce Technologies, among others.

    Just last month, one of the industry leaders, Safe Software, introduced its FME 2010 product. I spoke briefly with co-founders Don Murray and Dale Lutz  about their new product. I’ll be doing more of these sorts of 5- to 10-minute podcast interviews and posting them on the Geospatial Solutions website when the new version goes live in the coming weeks.

     

    Safe Software FME implementation at Washington DOT

     

    In the meantime, click below to listen to my podcast interview with Don and Dale. The interview is about 11 minutes in length. Pay particular attention at the 7:50 minute mark to the discussion about 3D geospatial data.

    Click here to listen to my podcast interview with Safe co-founders Don and Dale.

     

    Thanks, and see you next week.

    Follow me on Twitter at http://twitter.com/GPSGIS_Eric

  • The New GPS 24+3 Constellation: What Does it Mean to the Surveying and GIS User?

    Last week, the U.S. Air Force announced it is reconfiguring the GPS constellation. The Air Force is changing the constellation from a 21+3 configuration to a 24+3 configuration. The result will be more satellites in view, on average.

    This is great news for the GPS surveying and GIS mapping user. In my  opinion, it was the only achievable short/medium-term solution to the GPS “brownout” problem that has plagued GPS surveying and mapping users for years, and has worsened in recent months.

    In short, a GPS “brownout” is a time of the day when a GPS user is unable to utilize his or her GPS receiver because there aren’t enough satellites in view to achieve the desired accuracy. GPS “brownouts” primarily affect high-precision RTK users because that technology requires that the GPS receiver is tracking at least six satellites for a reliable position. With the current GPS constellation, there are times during the day when this is not possible given the satellite configuration and local conditions (obstructions such as trees, buildings, and terrain). This problem puts a serious damper on GPS productivity.

    Even though there are currently 30 operational GPS satellites, they are configured in a 24-satellite constellation. Essentially, several satellites are “paired up” so they add no value to users on the ground. They are designated as back-up satellites in case of a failure. I wrote a detailed article on this subject in October 2009 titled GPS Constellation Management: Playing Not to Lose that summarizes the problem.

    The New 24+3 Configuration

    Announcements from various publications and online newsgroups have different interpretations of the Air Force announcement. Some are emphasizing increased accuracy and others are citing increased coverage in Afghanistan. While both are correct, the major benefit to the surveying/mapping user community is increased worldwide satellite visibility. In other words, more GPS satellites will be in view at a given time during the day.

    More satellites in view = greater RTK and mapping productivity.

    The reason that increased accuracy is mentioned in the announcement is because PDOP values will be lower in general due to the increase of satellites in view…and there’s a direct correlation between accuracy and PDOP. Just how many more satellites will be in view is not clear yet. I’m working on producing some mission planning charts that will illustrate the benefits of 24+3 compared to 21+3.

    The three satellites being repositioned are SVN24, SVN26, and SVN49. SVN24 and SVN26 are two of the oldest satellites (Block-IIA) in the GPS constellation. SVN24 was declared operational in August 1991. SVN26 was declared operational in July 1992. SVN49 is a newer Block II-RM that was launched last March and has never been declared operational due to an anomaly discussed here before. More on SVN49 further down.

    The time to reposition each satellite is significant. SVN24, with the furthest distance to travel, began its journey last week and will take 12 months to reach its destination slot according to the Air Force. SVN49 will begin its journey on January 21, 2010, and will take four months (May 2010). SVN26 will begin its transition on February 8, 2010, and will reach its destination slot in approximately three months (May 2010), according the Air Force.

    Which Users Will Benefit the Most?

    After (and maybe during) the transition, RTK users will see an increase in the number of visible GPS satellites throughout the day. As I mentioned above, I’m still working on producing satellite visibility charts to better and more accurately illustrate this, so stay tuned. Of course, the benefit is going to vary depending on where you are located.

    Another group who will benefit is GIS mapping users, especially those working in difficult GPS conditions such as in forestry, urban/municipal areas, and areas where there is rugged terrain. An increased number of GPS satellites in view will allow GIS mapping users to operate in areas where it may not have been possible before and perform better in areas that were difficult.

    Consumer GPS users will benefit the least. Even during times of GPS “brownouts,” the pushback from consumer GPS has been minimal. Automobile navigation systems perform without a hiccup for the most part and handheld receivers behave reasonably well. The primary reason is that both of those types of receivers aren’t selective about the satellite signals they accept. Accuracy is way down the list of important design features in those receivers. That’s not the case with RTK and professional GIS mapping receivers. RTK and GIS mapping receivers require high-quality measurement data from GPS satellites.

    Will RTK Users Still Need GLONASS?

    Certainly, GPS-only (non-GLONASS) RTK users will see an increased benefit with the 24+3 configuration, particularly those who are operating in relatively clear-sky environments like precision agriculture. However, as we’ve seen with this technology, users will keep pushing the GNSS envelope to use it in marginal conditions where GPS 24+3 won’t be enough. GLONASS will still contribute more satellite measurements, on average, than GPS 24+3. Therefore, GLONASS will still be a desirable feature.

    But, I think we may see mainstream GNSS receiver manufacturers selling the GLONASS option at a lower price (or offering it for free) as it will be required in fewer instances. Russia is continuing to launch GLONASS satellites three at a time with the most recent launch being in December 2009 and the next scheduled one being later this spring.

    SVN49 – What No One Is Talking About

    One of the three GPS satellites being repositioned for 24+3 is SVN49. If you’ve kept up with the GPS constellation over the past six months, no doubt you’ve read about the SVN49 problem. It was launched last March and still hasn’t been declared healthy due to an irreparable problem. There has been much debate about what to do with SVN49. You can read about it here and here and here.

    Most likely, the problem that SVN49 has will not affect RTK users. In other words, if SVN49 is set healthy, RTK users will be able to utilize it like the other normally operating GPS satellites.

    However, GIS mapping users won’t benefit from SVN49. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has said it won’t incorporate corrections for SVN49 in WAAS. Although the U.S. Coast Guard (USCG) and Department of Transportation (DOT) haven’t commented, I doubt they will broadcast DGPS corrections for SVN49 either. For code phase post-processing, I doubt manufacturers will modify their post-processing software to accommodate the SVN49 anomaly.

    So, for GIS mapping users, it’s likely going to be a 24+2 configuration instead of a 24+3 configuration.

    Either way, this is good news across the board for the GPS surveying and mapping user community.

    I agree with what Don Jewell wrote in his column recently, that this subject is going to be written about and discussed a lot over the next few
    months as SVN26 and SVN49 are repositioned, and over the next year as SVN24 reaches its destination.

  • Last Week’s Column and a New GPS Constellation

    First off, let me offer my prayers for those who were affected by the powerful earthquake that occurred in Haiti yesterday (Tuesday). You can view USGS maps of the area here. ESRI is offering Disaster Response and Assistance. God Speed.

    I received some feedback from last week’s column “PDA vs. Tablet: Is the War Over or Just Starting?” and also some additional comments.

    While I focused on the tablet side of the equation last week, it’s prudent to make mention of the PDA side of the equation.

    But first, one reader pointed out that they use “convertible” tablet computers for GIS data collection. The reader comments…

    “I think it would have been at least worth a mention to bring up the convertible notebooks that operate as tablets in your article.  Now that we do all of our inspections electronically, our field inspectors use Panasonic Toughbooks w/the screen rolled around, in the field.  Everything they do is w/the pen since the keyboard ends up underneath, so technically, they are using it as a pen based tablet.  Also, we are using the handwriting part and it works pretty good, not great – the one place we do use it every time is to capture the signature of the person we inspected (as an image, not to recognize the characters).  Finally, they all have and use a Pentax bluetooth printer to leave a paper inspection record at the site when they are done.  A pdf copy of the document that prints out is kept in the system as the official record.”

    There is a pretty significant manufacturing base of convertible tablet computers. For example, Fujitsu used to have a multi-model line-up of slate tablet computers; now they just have one. But, they have a multi-model line-up of convertible tablets. It didn’t used to be that way. I think the reason is somewhat obvious. The convertible can easily be used as the user’s default notebook computer. Although you can use a slate tablet in the same manner (as your default notebook computer), it just doesn’t work out that way. For me, it was due to the smaller screen size and slower processor that I didn’t use my slate tablet as my default notebook computer.

     

    PDA Side of the Equation

    As much as tablet computers have hit a number of speed bumps, the PDA (personal digital assistant) has taken a similar path. They weren’t always popular. Remember the Apple Newton?

    Not until the Palm V was introduced in 1999 did the PDA really gain mass popularity. At nearly the same time, Microsoft introduced a Windows Operating System for handhelds called Pocket PC 2000.

    Since that time, PDAs have skyrocketed to the point of smartphones such as the BlackBerryiPhoneNokia N-SeriesHTCsPalm Treo Pre/Pro, and now the Google Nexus One.

    From a handheld GIS data collector point of view, mass acceptance of handheld computers has helped pave the way for improved “industrial-strength” handhelds. Whereas there used to be a myriad of industrial handhelds based on proprietary operating systems in the 1990s used for applications such as meter reading, barcode scanning, surveying, and GIS data collection, they have become somewhat standardized on the Windows Mobile operating system and borrowed many developments from their consumer brethren.

    However, the handheld GIS data collector business is still fuzzy. Do I use a dedicated industrial handheld (somewhat expensive)? Do I use a consumer PDA (cheaper but more fragile)? Do I use a smartphone (I already have one, so really cheap)?

    I’ve used the first two extensively. I’ve never tried using a smartphone to run ArcPad or other GIS data collection program. I’ve known some people who have tried and the problem usually ends up being the lack of system resources to run the phone and a GIS data-collection program at the same time or Bluetooth connectivity problems when using an external GPS receiver.

    With a consumer PDA (such as the IPaq), my experiences were so-so. They are small and convenient, but the ruggedness factor always worried me, and I usually had trouble reading the screen in bright sunlight. Battery life was always an issue, and working in the rain was not possible. There are ruggedized cases available for consumer PDAs, but I never purchased one because I have several PDAs and the ruggedized cases are model-specific for the most part.

    With industrial PDAs, my experience has been pretty good. The only data I ever lost was when I left the handheld on the roof of my rental car and drove back to the hotel. I found the heldheld, but unfortunately, so had the tires of a half-dozen cars.

    Increased competition in the industrial handheld market has brought prices down. TDS/Trimble just reduced the price of its Nomad 800B to $1,449 to compete with Swedish newcomer HandheldJuniper Systems and Getac/MiTAC are also gaining market share. This is good news for the user community as more competition usually results in better and cheaper products.

    A Quick Note on the New 24+3 GPS Constellation

    Earlier this week, the US Air Force announced they will be transitioning the GPS constellation to a new configuration. The new constellation will have three new slots for satellites and will improve the quality of GPS coverage worldwide. While there is already 24/7 GPS coverage all over the world, the new configuration will result in more satellites in view at a given time as well as a reduced PDOP. PDOP is a measure of the quality of the GPS constellation being tracking by a GPS receiver at a given time and has a direct affect on GPS accuracy.

    For the mapping and surveying community, this is probably the most significant announcement since Selective Availability was turned off nearly 10 years ago.

    Stay tuned for a detailed article in my GPS World Survey Scene column in the next week or so.

    Thanks, and see you next week.

  • The GIS Glass is Half Full

    Not much happened over the Christmas holidays in GIS but this holiday season many of you are experiencing some impact from the down economy or at least know some one who is. Add health care reform, cap and trade, the war, the growing deficit, and climate change, and things look pretty grim. Well, cheer up — things are not as bad as the media paints them.

    We are luckier than most since the impact has been less severe on the GIS community. Much of that falls due to the non-cyclical nature of GIS work, and fortunately GIS is no longer a luxury but an integral part of government operations. I was surprised to see that according to the Bureau of Labor and Management, the unemployment level for college-educated workers is only slightly over 4 percent. I can only guess that it is the same or lower for GIS professionals.

    We sometimes forget the blessings we have and how much better life is. The news media seem to gravitate toward pictures that are more dramatic and onerous than reality, but many times, reality is actually quite different from our first reaction. Here are some fun geographic examples that have been the subject of heated barroom discussions:

    • What major U.S. city would you fly over if you flew due west from Rome, Italy? Answer: Boston.  It seems counter-intuitive because we think of Rome as being in a warm climate. It is, but its location in the Mediterranean results in a warmer climate than Boston.
    • What course would you steer from Norfolk, Virginia to reach the Bahamas: south, southeast, or southwest?  Answer: south-southwest.  We think of the Bahamas as being east of Florida and they are, but few realize how far east the Virginia/North Carolina coast is compared to south Florida.
    • If you were sailing from the Gulf of Mexico to the Pacific Ocean via the Panama Canal, what approximate course would you steer?  Answer: southeast. One thinks of the Pacific being west of the Gulf and it is, but the Isthmus of Panama forms an “S” at the canal location so the canal actually runs southeast heading to the Pacific; parts of it even run east-northeast.

    My point? Things are not always as they seem. We in the GIS community have the tools to view the world scientifically as it is, not as one would guess. We have the ability to display complex data accurately and in visually compelling ways. We owe it to our citizens to be thorough from both sides and not just doom and gloom. As a senior citizen I’ve personally seen many changes for the better, not the apocalyptic vision of dystopian worlds such as 1984 or Soylent Green.

    Two real-world environmental examples:

    • The first Navy ship I served on had an overhaul at a Brooklyn shipyard right on the East River. In 1975 the East River was very simply an opaque brown open sewer. My sailors had impromptu contests, as they worked over the side, as to who could count the most condoms or the most t..ds floating past the ship. One day we even saw a face down body in a dark suit floating down the river. The police recovered the stiff, and the event didn’t even make the local news. Things have changed. Last year I was shocked to see the East River with enough clarity to actually see several feet into the water. It was not the same river.
    • When I was a small boy living in 1950 Chicago, I saw my mother scrubbing the blackened collars of my Dad’s white shirts. “Ring around the collar” was a very significant problem due to the coal dust and soot in the air. Although before my time, I was told that it was even worse in the early 1900s. The air was so dirty that people who wore white dress shirts would have filthy cuffs by the time they arrived at work. To counter the problem they would fold back their cuffs and then unfold the cuff upon arrival at work revealing a clean cuff. I haven’t seen air that dirty in any U.S. city recently. Today the carry-over on many dress shirts is a sewn seam about ¾’ from the base of the cuff that facilitated the folding.

    I know that these are only anecdotal observations, but they certainly highlight that things are better in many aspects of the environment. Now let’s consider a transportation-related unintended consequence.

    Several years ago there was a bill before Congress to require mothers who travel with infants onboard aircraft to place them in car seats rather than in their lap. On first glance, it sounds like a good idea, but let’s consider the unintended consequence. A study was done to determine the impact of the proposed law. A college research team determined that the number of infants that would be saved with car-seat use would be minimal since most air crashes are catastrophic. However, requiring a mother to buy two tickets would “push a whole bunch of them out the bottom” since many couldn’t afford two seats. Putting those mothers behind the wheel of a car, a much more dangerous travel method, would result in significantly more baby deaths. So the impact of the law would be to kill more babies.

    The strong capability of GIS is in data visualization of complex intended and unintended effects. GIS has shown the effects of global warming very clearly, and if we stick to faithfully analyzing and displaying the data, no one can fault our work. I do believe that we need to consider all scientific work in the arena of ideas. Some researchers  question the impact and/our ability to mitigate human effects. We also know that the implementation of draconian measures could be worse, having an extremely severe and devastating impact on the poor. It was very disappointing to hear of climate researchers fudging the data or trying to exclude conflicting research. This is too important an issue, and there is too much at stake to undermine the credibility of research on this issue. Winston Churchill once said “With integrity nothing else counts, and without integrity nothing else counts.”

    So my wish for 2010 is for everyone to do good work and live by the GISP code of ethics, and for there to be more optimism.  History has shown that nature sides with the optimist. Life is good and getting better, so I choose the see the glass as half full.

  • PDA vs Tablet: Is the War Over or Just Starting?

    2010 will be a decisive year for the tablet computer.

    Let’s face it, tablet computers have had a tough time gaining traction in past years. For manufacturer’s, it’s been a relatively small niche business. I recall back in the late 90’s I was looking at what was available and there wasn’t much. There were a few smaller companies like Xplore TechnologiesWalkabout Computers and some others. The big daddy of that day was Fujitsu. While several large high tech companies (eg. HP) have ventured into the tablet business, most, if not all, have exited the tablet business at some point. Fujitsu is about the only one that has hung around and still in it today. However, just earlier this week. Microsoft CEO Steve Balmer presented at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) and held up the yet-to-be-introduced HP tablet.

    Although tablet computers have been around for many, many years, there is a new breed of manufacturers with some very interesting tablet computers in their pipeline that will cause users to think about tablet computers again.

    By tablet computer, I’m referring to the “slate” style tablet computer that uses a pen for data entry because it has no keyboard. Something like these…
                

     

    Think about the limitations of tablet computers in the past:

     

    1.    Size

    2.    Poor screen readability in various lighting conditions

    3.    Expensive

    4.    Poor hand-writing recognition

    5.    Poor battery life

     

    SIZE

    In my personal experience, size and weight was a major deciding factor as to whether I grabbed my tablet (yes, I own one) or a PDA to take into the field for GIS data collection. In my mind, the driving factor would be if I needed the screen size for the particular project. If I could make do with the smaller screen size of the PDA, I’d use the PDA because it was easier to carry, especially if I was using a four-wheeler or driving some other utility vehicle while mapping.

    However, this may change. Tablets with smaller screen sizes (eg. 7″) are being introduced. More sophisticated software and more extensive datasets are being carried in the field. If these factors overcome the ergonomic disadvantage, tablet computer use in the field will increase.

     

    POOR SCREEN READABILITY IN VARIOUS LIGHTING CONDITIONS

    The readability of tablet screens outdoors is a major issue. In fact, at one point some manufacturer’s forced you decide, when purchasing, whether to select a screen used for “indoor”, “indoor/outdoor” or “outdoor” use. The “outdoor” screen was absolutely useless indoors or even in the outdoors in poorly lit areas.

    Some years ago, I purchased a model with the indoor/outdoor screen. It worked fine indoors and I’ve used it outdoors on a number of occasions, but found that it was tough to read in direct sunlight so I found myself trying to shade it so I could read it better. I gave up trying to use an orthophoto in the background because there just wasn’t enough contrast to be able to see the moving cursor and features I was recording.

    But thanks to the explosive growth in the notebook computer industry, a lot of research and development money has been spent on improving screen technology. Nevertheless, some tablet manufacturers don’t even attempt to create products with screens that are readable outdoors. It takes a special effort to create such a product.

    If you ever consider purchasing a tablet computer for field work, the first test you should conduct is screen readability in the environment we you’ll be collecting data.

     

    EXPENSIVE

    Historically and even today, tablet computers are a niche business. The volume of units sold on an annual basis is less than 1% of notebook computer annual volume. But, the development and production costs are higher than a traditional notebook computer. Therefore, the pricing of units is going to be higher. For ruggedized tablet computers, pricing can reach US$5,000. The going rate for my indoor/outdoor (not ruggedized but doable with a sturdy carrying case) tablet was nearly US$3,000 when I purchased it a few years ago.

    Ruggedized tablets are still going to command a high price. For example, Trimble Navigation recently introduced the Yuma tablet. It’s got a 7” screen, has a 32GB solid state hard disk and is ruggedized for outdoor use. It’s priced at US$4,000.

     

    However, in 2010 we are going to see many low-priced tablet computers entering the market. Freescale is reportedly going to introduce a sub-US$200 tablet netbook. Mio is working on their own 7” screen tablet. And, of course, Apple has announced their tablet that is rumored to be introduced in March 2010. Just think what the iPhone has done and you can imagine what will happen if Apple hits a homerun with their tablet product.

    Even if they aren’t ruggedized, it won’t matter. If the unit prices are cheap enough, companies will designed ruggedized enclosures or special cases just like they did for the consumer PDAs (eg. Ipaq).

     

    POOR HAND-WRITING RECOGNITION

    I’m not sure this will ever be perfected. Even an accuracy rate of 98% means it will misinterpret 1 out of 50 words you write. Is that good enough? Personally, I set mine up to maximize “pick-lists” and sketching while minimizing hand-writing. At the end of the day, it’s not a deal-breaker. Users will adapt to the limitation.

     

    POOR BATTERY LIFE

    Like the advancement in screen readability, battery technology has also advanced so this is less of an issue than it used to be. Ideally, the battery would last an entire day on one charge. For GIS users, however, five hours on a charge is the minimum as long as the battery can be easily swapped during lunch-time. I don’t think this is a deal-breaker.

     

    2010 – The Year of the Tablet?

    Whereas tablet computers were seen as a higher-end niche business in years past, that will change in 2010. Several high-volume manufacturers like MiTAC, GETAC, ASUS, HP and Toshiba are introducing new tablet computers. In addition to leveraging off of the explosive growth of notebook sales, tablet computer product development is also leveraging off of netbooksconvertible, and UMPC product development efforts. They all have the same basic technology requirements (readable screen in various lighting conditions, battery life, hand-writing recognition, size, low pric
    e). This will translate into lower cost of development, which will mean lower prices to the consumer….possibly much lower.

     

    Thanks and see you next week.

  • The Federal Radionavigation Plan

    I’ve intended to write about the 2008 Federal Radionavigation Plan (FRP) for quite some time. It is an important document because it is the official policy document that drives the United States’ radio navigation (including GPS) program planning. According to the FRP, it includes the introductions, policies, radionavigation system user requirements, system descriptions, and operating plans of various radionavigation systems. The FRP is updated biennially. The 2008 FRP was approved in January 2009.

    The FRP preface states that it is prepared jointly by the Department of Defense, Department of Homeland Security, and Department of Transportation with assistance from other government agencies. The document covers radionavigation systems used by both the civilian and military communities. It does not cover radionavigation systems used exclusively by the U.S. military.

    The FRP is a fascinating document because it encompasses GPS, GPS augmentation systems, and “back-up” systems. In this column, I’m going to extract several statements from the FRP and comment on them. If you’d like to read the FRP in full (184 pages), you can do so here. Briefly, the FRP includes the following navigation technologies: GPS, WAAS, DGPS, LORAN, and VOR/DME/TACAN/ILS/MLS/NDB (all aviation-oriented).

    By way of background and according to the FRP, the first version of the FRP was released in 1980 as part of a Presidential Report to Congress.

    For the remainder of this column, I’ll provide quotes from the FRP that I think are relevant and add some commentary.

    From the executive summary:

    “A major goal of DoD and DOT is to ensure that a mix of common-use (civil and military) systems is available to meet user requirements for accuracy, reliability, availability, continuity, integrity, coverage, operational utility, and cost; to provide adequate capability for future growth; and to eliminate unnecessary duplication of services. Selecting a future radionavigation systems mix is a complex task, since user requirements vary widely and change with time. While all users require services that are safe, readily available and easy to use, unique requirements exist for military as well as civil users. For example, the military has more stringent requirements including performance under intentional interference, operations in high-performance vehicles, worldwide coverage, and operational capability in severe environmental conditions. Similarly, civil users desire higher accuracy and integrity for future highway, rail, and other safety-of-life applications. Cost is always a major consideration that must be balanced with a needed operational capability.”

    EG Comment: As I did, you may think the “civil user desires” described in the executive summary are a small subset of actual consumer users, and that’s true. But, it’s important to remember that this document is focused on U.S. government users rather than commercial users.

    However, it does raise a point about the consideration given to civilian users when program decisions are being made regarding GPS such as features, satellite launch schedules, ground infrastructure, and constellation management. I’m sure when a congressperson, who is making decisions regarding budgets, is researching the subject he or she will read this executive summary. The statement “civil users desire higher accuracy…” will mislead the reader. While there is a demand for high accuracy in the commercial civil user community, there is a much larger demand for products in the low and medium accuracy commercial markets.

    While I’m not criticizing the executive summary for being incorrect, it seems to me that the people who control the purse strings (Congress) may not be given enough information to grasp the “big picture” regarding the GPS user community.

     

    “Interoperability considerations —

    “National and international radionavigation systems are sometimes used in combination with each other or with other systems. These combined systems are often implemented to provide improved or complementary performance. In the case of GPS, the USG encourages future interoperability with foreign space-based PNT systems for civil, commercial, and scientific uses worldwide. Examples of existing or future foreign space-based PNT systems are Russia’s Global Navigation Satellite System (GLONASS), the European Union’s Galileo, Japan’s Quasi Zenith Satellite System (QZSS), China’s Compass, and India’s Regional Navigation Satellite System (RNSS). Properly designed receivers that take advantage of these systems may benefit from additional satellite signals, increased redundancy, and improved performance over that obtained from just one system alone. A critical aspect of system interoperability is ensuring compatibility among radionavigation services. For example, the USG has concerns about radionavigation signal structures that could adversely impact the military and civil use of GPS. The USG has also fostered the use of interoperable augmentations through its adherence to international standards for DGPS and space-based augmentation system services.These include Maritime DGPS and the Wide Area Augmentation System.”

    EG Comment: I have to say that the U.S. government has done a good job in the area of interoperability. In the 2001 Federal Radionavigation Plan, interoperability wasn’t discussed nearly to the degree it is in the 2008 FRP.

    From the 2001 FRP: “Radionavigation systems are sometimes used in combination with each other or with other systems. These combined systems are often implemented so that a major attribute of one system will offset a weakness of another.…a few manufacturers have of navigation and positioning equipment have developed combined GPS/GLONASS receivers to take advantage of these benefits. Some receivers are on the market with others in the planning stage.”

    From 2001 to 2008, the U.S. government’s position has morphed from recognizing that some GPS/GLONASS receivers exist to actually encouraging interoperability with all “foreign-based PNT systems for commercial, civil, and scientific uses worldwide.” That’s quite a transformation.

     

    “General policy statement —

    “As the full civil potential of GPS services and its augmentations are implemented, the demand for services provided by other Federally provided radionavigation systems is expected to decrease. The USG will reduce non-GPS-based radionavigation services with the reduction in the demand for those services. However, it is a policy objective of the USG not to be critically dependent upon a single system for PNT. The USG will maintain back-up capabilities to meet: (1) growing national, homeland, and economic security requirements, (2) civil requirements, and (3) commercial and scientific demands. Operational, economic, safety, and security considerations will dictate the need for complementary PNT systems. While some operations may be conducted safely using a single radionavigation system, it is Federal policy to provide redundant radionavigation service where required. Backups to GPS for safety-of-life navigation applications, or other critical applications, can be other radionavigation systems, or operational procedures, or a combination of these systems and procedures to form a safe and effective backup. Backups to GPS for timing applications can be a highly accurate crystal oscillator or atomic clock.”

    EG Comment: I wrote to someone the other day about this. Back-ups to GPS is a serious issue. I think very few would argue that it’s not. The reality is that
    there is no single back-up for GPS. It depends on the application. In aviation, it’s maintaining a minimal infrastructure of VOR/DME/ILS rather than Loran, according to the FAA. In maritime, it’s the legacy visual aids and charts according to the U.S. Coast Guard. For high precision users, it’s legacy technology like optical instruments and new technology like Locata and pseudolites.

     

    “GPS backup —

    “With respect to transportation to include aviation, commercial maritime, rail, and highway, the DOT has determined that sufficient alternative navigation aids currently exist in the event of a loss of GPS-based services, and therefore Loran currently is not needed as a back-up navigation aid for transportation safety-of-life users. However, many transportation safety-of-life applications depend on commercial communication systems and DOT recognizes the importance of the Loran system as a backup to GPS for critical infrastructure applications requiring precise time and frequency.”

    EG Comment: The continuing Loran saga.

     

    “Civil Signals —

    “In addition to the L1 Coarse/Acquisition (C/A) signal, the USG will add three additional coded signals to support future civil applications:

    • L1C, frequency 1575.42 MHz, providing better performance than the current C/A signal being used by civilian receivers;

    • L2C, frequency 1227.6 MHz; and

    • L5, frequency 1176.45 MHz, to meet the needs of critical safety-of-life applications, such as civil aviation.

    “The L1C signal is designed to be interoperable with the European Galileo system and is being promoted as a future world standard for incorporation into Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS). The next generation of GPS satellites, GPS III, will begin broadcasting L1C around 2014.

    “The performance specifications in the current SPS PS apply to users of the L1 C/A (1575.42 MHz) signal. As new modernized GPS civil signals (L1C, L2C, and L5) achieve initial operating capability (IOC), performance standards for services utilizing these signals will be developed.”

    EG Comment: Nothing new here, but the schedule of actually implementing the new civil signals is a moving target. There are only seven satellites broadcasting L2C at this time. The first Block IIF satellite with L5 should launch in the first or second quarter of this year. Satellites broadcasting L1C (Block III) won’t launch until at least 2014 and a full constellation won’t be operational for many years after that.

     

    “Discontinuation of codeless and semi-codeless GPS access —

    “As published in the Federal Register on September 23, 2008 (Volume 73, Number 185), the USG commits to maintaining the existing GPS L1 C/A, L1 P(Y), L2C and L2 P(Y) signal characteristics that enable codeless and semi-codeless GPS access until at least 31 December 2020. To enable an orderly and systematic transition, users of semi-codeless and codeless receiving equipment are expected to transition to using civil-coded signals by this date.”

    EG Comment: I’ve written a lot about this. You can read some here.

     

    “Military signals —

    “Currently, GPS military users are provided P(Y) code signals on L1 and L2. These will be supplanted in the future by the M-Code, the next generation military GPS signal. The first GPS Block IIR-M satellite began broadcasting M-Code in September 2006. M-Code will significantly improve exclusivity of access because, in addition to being encrypted, it will be spectrally separate from civilian signals and other radionavigation satellite service signals, thereby enabling U.S. navigation warfare operations through spectral separation. Navigation warfare involves protecting U.S. and allied use of GPS while simultaneously preventing hostile forces access to GPS services and preserving peaceful civil GPS use outside of an area of military operations. The M-Code will permit higher power operation than the present signal design and will facilitate localized tactical denial of GPS civil signals to prevent their use by hostile forces. Military GPS receivers, when tracking the encrypted military signals, are much more resistant to interference than commercial GPS equipment. The newest generation of military GPS receivers that can access military GPS signals directly are even more resistant to interference; however, future improvements in signal availability and receiver performance will continue to be necessary.”

    EG Comment: The key phrase is “localized tactical denial of GPS civil signals…”. Wow, what can I say about that? Come on GLONASS/CDMA, and Galileo, hurry up!

    “Military use of GPS civil signals —

    “DoD does not have an operational requirement to use the GPS civil signals, designated L1C, L2C, and L5, or the Wide Area Augmentation System (WAAS), with the exception of the Army validated WAAS requirement documented in the Global Air Traffic Management (GATM) Operational Requirements Document (ORD). Since DoD policy prohibits the use of civil signals or augmentation systems in wartime environments and dual equipage is not fiscally practical, type approval of military aviation receivers is required to eliminate the need for civil GPS equipage on military aircraft. This will provide an enhanced capability to span the operational environment for military aviation—from flight in civil airspace in peacetime to combat operations worldwide. Commercial operators of Civil Reserve Air Fleet (CRAF) airframes may elect to equip with L5 and/or WAAS if there is a demonstrated.”

    EG Comment: Interesting.

     

    “Mitigating Disruptions in Aviation Operations —

    “A loss of GPS service, due to either intentional or unintentional interference, in the absence of any other means of navigation, would have varying negative effects on air traffic operations. These effects could range from nuisance events requiring standard restoration of capabilities, to an inability to provide normal air traffic control service within one or more sectors of airspace (the NAS is divided into hundreds of air traffic control sectors. A single air traffic controller has the responsibility to keep aircraft safely separated from one another within each sector and from other sectors. Sector dimensions vary, and are established based on predominant traffic flows, altitude, and controller workload) for a significant period of time.

    “In addition to FAA plans of retaining a minimum network of VOR, DME, and ILS facilities to serve as a backup to GPS for the
    near future, several other solutions have been identified to help mitigate the effects of a satellite navigation (SATNAV) service disruption:

    “The L5 civil frequency planned for GPS will help mitigate the impacts of both solar activity and unintentional interference, but it may be 2018 before a full constellation of dual-frequency satellites (L1 and L5) is available. The dual frequency capability with L5 will address ionospheric scintillation by enabling receivers to calculate
    actual ionospheric corrections, thereby preserving LPV capability during severe ionospheric storms.

    • Modern transport-category turbojet aircraft with inertial systems may be able to continue navigating safely for a period of time after losing radionavigation position updating depending on the route or procedure being flown. In some cases, this capability may prove adequate to depart an area with localized jamming or proceed under visual flight rules during good visibility and high ceilings, however, inertial performance without radionavigation updates degrades with time and will eventually fail to meet airspace requirements.

    • Integrated GPS/inertial avionics having anti-jam capability could reduce the area affected by GPS jamming or unintentional interference. Industry research is proceeding to develop this technology, with an expectation that it might be marketed to the general aviation community at some point in the future.

    • Users may have an option to equip with instrument flight rules (IFR)-certified Loran avionics, pending the improvements needed to achieve a nonprecision instrument approach capability with eLoran. A combined eLoran/SATNAV receiver could provide navigation and nonprecision instrument approach service throughout any disruption to SATNAV service.

    EG Comment: This is a good description of the GPS strategy for aviation operations. But, honestly, if there’s a disruption once the National Airspace System (NAS) is fully reliant on GPS, it’s hard to see there not being major, major hiccups in the air traffic system.

     

    “Mitigating disruptions in land operations —

    “Surface transportation users currently use radionavigation services from GPS and its augmentations to supplement other available nonradionavigation systems. Under this operational paradigm, users seamlessly use other existing techniques to mitigate both the short-term loss of GPS due to obstructions and the longer-term loss due to failed on-board user equipment and adverse operating environments. In future applications, accuracy requirements are expected to become much more stringent, and GPS and its augmentations are likely to play a more critical role. The loss of GPS and its augmentations will be carefully evaluated within the overall operational environment to ensure continued safe and efficient operation of the land transportation system.

    “Surface transportation agencies are working with industry to ensure that safety critical systems that use GPS and its augmentations consider the loss of these radionavigation services and are able to mitigate its effects in order to continue safe and efficient operation of the nation’s surface transportation infrastructure. This is accomplished today by outreach to user groups and local transportation agencies and defining minimum operational or functional standards. In the future, training for application developers, state and local highway and transit agencies, and motor carriers on the operational capabilities of GPS as well as what to do when failures occur may be necessary. Finally, since it is expected that signal availability from GPS may not be adequate for surface users experiencing canopy/urban obstructions, alternate systems that perform a verification test on the GPS navigation solution and that support continued operation in the event of a loss of GPS will be employed in a system-of-systems configuration.”

    EG Comment: A great argument for multi-constellation receivers.

     

    “Mitigating disruptions in non-navigation applications —

    “Common positioning applications include: surveying and mapping; precision agriculture; emergency response and law enforcement; fire services; environmental resource management; utility location and management; asset inventory and management; and logistics. These applications have a highly variable duration and involve sporadic areas of operation. Because of the flexible character of positioning applications, operations will typically be halted until the GPS or GPS Augmentation signal is restored in an area. Optical and inertial surveying equipment are back-up options that could meet the accuracy requirements of these applications, depending on the capabilities and preparation of these operators.”

    EG Comment: Multi-constellation receivers have already proven their value in non-navigation applications.

     

    “Operating Plans – GPS —

    “DoD will provide a 48-hour advance notice of changes in the constellation operational status that affect the service being provided to GPS SPS users in peacetime, other than planned GPS interference testing. The USG provides notification of changes in constellation operational status that affect the service being provided to GPS users or if a problem in meeting performance standards is anticipated. In the case of a scheduled event affecting service provided to GPS users, the USG will issue an appropriate Notice Advisory to Navstar Users (NANU) at least 48 hours prior to the event, in accordance with the GPS Standard Positioning Service Performance Standard (Ref. 9).

    “Coordination of planned interference testing activities nominally begins 60 days before testing events. Users are notified by the USCG as soon as an activity is approved, and by FAA typically not earlier than 72 hours before an activity begins. DoD notice will be given to the USCG Navigation Information Service (NIS) and the FAA Notice to Airmen (NOTAM) system. The NIS and NOTAM systems will announce unplanned system outages resulting from system malfunctions or unscheduled maintenance.

    “GPS will be the primary Federally provided radionavigation system for the foreseeable future. GPS will be augmented and improved to satisfy future military and civil requirements for accuracy, coverage, availability, continuity, and integrity. Current policy states that DoD will maintain a nominal 24-satellite constellation, and that replacement satellites will be launched on an anticipated need to maintain the constellation as satellites age and ultimately fail.”

    EG Comment: Good policy statement on notification to civil users. You can sign up to receive NANU’s here.

    Note the statement regarding maintaining a 24-satellite constellation. There are currently upwards of 30 operational GPS satellites. That’s a healthy number, but the problem is that they are still positioned as 24 satellites. In other words, several are “paired up” so the effective constellation is still only 24. There is discussion within the USG about repositioning some of the satellites to optimize the constellation and improve coverage. More on that soon I hope.

     

    “Maritime and nationwide differential GPS —

    “USCG began development of the MDGPS system in the late 1980s to meet the needs of the Coastal and Harbor Entrance and Approach (HEA) phases of
    navigation and to enable automated buoy positioning. MDGPS service was certified fully operational in March 1999 after the network met the performance standards required for HEA navigation. PL 105-66, Title III, § 346 (111 Stat. 1449) authorizes the Secretary of Transportation to improve and expand the USCG’s MDGPS into a Nationwide DGPS, or NDGPS, by adding an inland segment. RITA coordinates this inland program and is acting chair of the NDGPS Policy and Implementation Team. Today, multiple Federal agencies, several states, and scientific
    organizations are cooperating to provide the combined national DGPS utility, with plans to complete NDGPS system coverage throughout the lower 48 states.

    “Each NDGPS facility meets all operating parameters established to qualify a MDGPS facility for operational availability, as established by USCG. NDGPS was not designed to meet aviation integrity requirements.

    “In addition to providing a real-time broadcast of differential corrections, the U.S. DGPS services provide a robust operational backbone to the DOC’s CORS application for post-processing survey applications and Webenabled location solutions, the National Weather Service’s Forecast Systems Laboratory for short-term precipitation forecasts, and the University NAVSTAR Consortium (UNAVCO) for plate tectonic monitoring. Where operational considerations allow, additional operational capability may be added, such as the broadcast of navigational or meteorological warnings and marine safety information (i.e., NAVTEX data) to support safe navigation at sea.

    “Currently 39 USCG and nine USACE broadcast sites provide service for maritime coverage CONUS, the Great Lakes, Puerto Rico, portions of Alaska and Hawaii, and portions of the Mississippi River Basin. The inland NDGPS segment complements the MDGPS segment and is planned to provide dual coverage of the CONUS and selected portions of Hawaii and Alaska as a combined national DGPS utility. There are currently 38 DOT sponsored sites in the NDGPS network providing 92 percent of the contiguous 48 states with single coverage and 65 percent with dual coverage. The combined DGPS service will provide uniform coverage of the CONUS and portions of Hawaii and Alaska, regardless of terrain, or man-made and other surface obstructions. This coverage is achieved by using a medium frequency broadcast optimized for surface applications. The broadcast has been demonstrated to be sufficiently robust to work throughout mountain ranges, difficult terrain and other obstructions. The combined DGPS service will provide a highly reliable GPS integrity function to users to meet the growing requirements of surface users (transportation, precision agriculture, natural resources and environmental management, emergency management and response, and surveying and construction communities).

    “As each new Nationwide site is added to the DGPS network, it is evaluated and tested to ensure that it meets the full operational capability specifications commensurate with a safety of life service. Once a site is declared fully operational, the site is monitored and maintained by the USCG to ensure support for safety applications. System coverage for a specific location can be obtained from the USCG Navigation Center (NAVCEN) website, http://www.navcen.uscg.gov.

    “The two major deployment milestones have been established as nationwide single station coverage and nationwide dual station coverage (CONUS only). Under single station coverage, predicted to occur no earlier than 2010 (pending funding availability), users anywhere within CONUS will be able to receive at least one DGPS differential correction broadcast. The second major milestone is full coverage by at least two DGPS broadcasts, is expected to occur no earlier than 2012.”

    EG Comment: This is a great example of where policy and the presidential budget don’t necessarily agree. NDGPS has been on the budget chopping block for several years. At this point, DOT has only budgeted to maintain the existing system…about $4.6M annually for the 38 DOT-sponsored sites. The 39 USCG and nine USACE sites provide safety-of-life service so their budgets are secure.

     

    “High Accuracy NDGPS —

    “The HA-NDGPS research program is sponsored by FHWA and FRA to enhance the performance of NDGPS. The first HA-NDGPS station began broadcasting in a test mode in 2001 with funding from the Interagency GPS Executive Board (IGEB). IGEB recognized the potential benefit to many Federal agencies, states, and the general public of having a nationwide high accuracy system. Two HA-NDGPS reference stations are currently operational and providing 10 to 15 cm accuracy throughout the coverage area. Further improvements to accuracy and the development of 1 to 2 second time-to-alarm integrity are anticipated. Once these improvements are complete, a HA-NDGPS standard will be developed.

    “To support this, several approaches are being investigated. They can be grouped into three general categories: improved ionosphere and troposphere prediction; increased data throughput to support broadcast of GPS observables; and the addition of pertinent data to the current broadcast.”

    EG Comment: The HA-NDGPS program is one that’s been around a long time. It’s a technology in search of an application. The growth of RTK networks threatens to render HA-NDGPS obsolete. An interesting rumor I heard is that DOT is considering streaming NTRIP data from NDGPS and possibly HA-NDGPS. Essentially, that means one could receive RTCM corrections over the internet via Wi-Fi, mobile phone networks, etc.) and eliminate the bulky and expensive beacon receivers required to use NDGPS today.

     

    “Wide Area Augmentation System (WAAS) —

    “WAAS, an SBAS operated by FAA, provides increased navigation accuracy, availability, and integrity for aircraft navigation during departure, en route, arrival, and approach operations. Although designed primarily for aviation applications, WAAS is widely available in receivers manufactured for navigation use by other communities.

    “FAA commissioned WAAS in 2003. WAAS service supports departure, en route, arrival, and approach operations, including nonprecision approaches and approach procedures with vertical guidance. The WAAS service may support additional capabilities such as advanced arrival and departure procedures (curved and segmented), more efficient en route navigation and parallel runway operations, runway incursion warnings, high-speed turnoff guidance, and airport surface operations.

    “WAAS will be modified to utilize the L5 signal provided by modernized GPS satellites, in lieu of the current semi-codeless L2 signal being utilized to determine ionospheric corrections. New dual-frequency WAAS avionics using L1 and L5 will improve the availability of LPV service.

    EG Comment: Note that WAAS is bypassing L2C. It says something about the future of L2C and if it’s really needed. That’s another discussion altogether. Like GPS, WAAS, and SBAS in general is being used in many applications beyond its original intent. There are hundreds of thousands (several million if you include the consumer WAAS users) that outnumber by orders of magnitude the number of WAAS users in aviation.

     

    “The U.S. Continuously Operating Reference Station (CORS) System —

    “NOAA’s NGS, an element of DOC, has established a CORS system to support non-navigation post-processing applications of GPS, especially precise 3-dimensional positioning at the few centimeter level. More recently, the CORS network has also served the atmospheric science community as a tr
    oposphere and ionosphere monitoring network, and it has
    served the geophysics community as a crustal motion monitoring network. Additionally, the CORS system is being modernized to serve as the foundation for future applications that support real and near real-time positioning (that differ from navigation applications by the lack of redundancy and integrity monitoring required for safety-of-life applications). The CORS system provides code range and carrier phase data from a nationwide network of GPS stations for access by the Internet.

    “As of June 2008, data were being provided from more than 1,200 stations. The NGS manages and coordinates data contributions from GPS tracking stations established by more than 200 other groups rather than by building an independent network of reference stations. In particular, use is being made of data from stations operated by components of DOT and DHS that support real-time navigation requirements (mostly WAAS and NDGPS augmentations). These real-time stations make up approximately 17 percent of all CORS stations. Other stations currently contributing data to CORS include stations operated by NOAA, NSF, and NASA in support of crustal motion activities; stations operated by state and local governments in support of surveying and mapping applications; and stations operated by NOAA’s Earth Systems Research Laboratory, in support of meteorological applications. The breakdown of CORS partners is illustrated in Figure 5-1.

     

    “The national CORS system is a GPS augmentation system managed by NOAA that archives and distributes GPS data for precision positioning and atmospheric modeling applications. It serves as the basis for the National Spatial Reference System, defining high accuracy coordinates for all Federal radionavigation systems. Historically, CORS served postprocessing users of GPS, but is being modernized to support real-time users at a similar level of accuracy.”

    EG Comment: What can you say about the CORS system other than that it’s a model for other CORS systems around the world. It says something about the success of the program in that it’s allocated an entire page in the FRP.

     

    Phew, there’s more in the FRP I could quote and discuss but I’ve touched on the major items. Hopefully, this gives you an idea of what the USG thinks about when it makes strategic and tactical decisions about the GPS program. However, keep in mind that in many cases policy and budget don’t match, and if there’s a conflict between the two, budgets usually win.

    As a side note, I’ve started a Twitter. You can find me at http://twitter.com/GPSGIS_Eric.

     

  • To Twitter or Not to Twitter?

    Ok, I did it. I started to “Twitter”.

    Actually, I created a Twitter account a few months ago but only started actively using it a couple of days ago. Mind you, I don’t change my habits easily. I’m almost never the first person to try something new. I wait for others to play the guinea pig and see if the idea is going to catch on to the mass market before I invest my time. For example, I never created a MySpace page, and I’m glad I didn’t. I do participate in Facebook to keep up with friends and relatives, but that’s a passive thing that requires very little time. The upside is really good if you like staying current with friends/family.

    Twittering and blogging are very different than passive social networking tools like Facebook or MySpace or even a website. The fact is that Twittering and blogging require regular attention in order for them to have value, in my opinion. Twitter more so than blogs.

    What is Twitter?

    Twitter is what I call one-line zingers that people send out. It’s sort of like text messaging in its brevity. Each Twitter message is limited to 140 characters. Twitter messages can be news events (Accenture dumped Tiger), comments on personal status (I’m getting a lobotomy), and so on. People who are interested in what you are doing can decide to follow your Twitter, which means that their Twitter messages will be sent to your Twitter account. Those who are really, really interested in what you are doing can also receive Twitter messages on their phone via text message.

    You can send Twitter messages from your computer or from your phone via text messaging. According to Twitter co-founder Evan Williams, up to 60,000 people (assuming they’ve decided to follow you) receive your Twitter message in a matter of seconds after you send it. Click here for a short presentation on Twitter at the TED conference by Williams.

    In months past, I’ve asked myself what value Twitter could add to my personal life. My conclusion at that time was and still today, is not much. I’m connected with my friends and family, who live all over the continent and in other countries, via Facebook. I don’t need real-time info about what my family and friends are doing and I’m really not interested in providing real-time info to them about what I’m doing. If there’s an urgent matter, they call me or I call them.

    If I didn’t see the value of Twitter in my life, then why did I sign up for it?

    For me, I see Twitter as a potentially valuable tool in my job. However, you have to realize that I’m in the gossip business (self-deprecating definition of a journalism) so its value may be more for me than you depending on the value you place on near-real-time information. From my activity on it these past few days, I see the upside. I’m not sure how good of a Twitter provider I’ll be yet, but I’m following about 64 other Twitter-ers and find the information they are providing useful.

    I’m far from optimizing my use of Twitter. The people I’m following are providing news updates for the most part, not personal updates, which is the way I like it. If I find that people are sending personal updates, I “unfollow” them. I really don’t care to know if someone is at the dentist’s office. To decide who to follow, I searched for terms such as “GIS,” “GPS,” “mapping,” and similar, as well as for particular companies I want to follow. I spent an hour or so doing this. I’m sure I will add and subtract many more Tweeters, but this is a start and I’m already receiving a wide array of Tweets. Following is what I’ve got on my Twitter list right now, at least the first six entries:

    1. trimbleoutdoors

    An easy #cycling tour of the back roads through the West San Francisco Bay foothills http://ow.ly/LBYM #bicycling21 minutes ago from HootSuite

    1. NN4D

    “The Use of Game Engines in GIS” http://bit.ly/4EKchz35 minutes ago from API

    1. thegisforum

    Forum Post: Trimble Office Software and Windows 7: Looking for anyone who has installed either Trimble Pathfinder O… http://bit.ly/4wjcshabout 1 hour ago from twitterfeed

    1. NN4D

    “MapQuest Adds StreetView-type Imagery” http://bit.ly/8fSJeKabout 1 hour ago from API

    1. mikehogan

    ArcSDE 9.3.1 SP1 released: http://bit.ly/8PQvHf ArcIMS 9.3.1 SP1 Released: http://bit.ly/5OgK6V #ESRIabout 1 hour ago from Seesmic

    1. ESRI

    lass=”entry-content”>Want to keep track of the latest discussion on Spatial Roundtable? Check out the #RSS feed for comments: http://tr.im/HBZn #ESRIabout 1 hour ago from TweetDeck

    If you want to follow my Twitter, my Twitter name is GPSGIS_Eric. I promise to keep my Tweets relevant and frequently infrequent.

    What’s this got to do with GIS and Geospatial technology?

    If you’ve followed this column, you’ll recall I’ve mentioned social networking on one or more occasions. Geospatial data and positioning technology (eg. GPS) are a huge part of Location-Based Services (LBS) that will be a significant technology in our lives in the next five years.

    Last August, Twitter announced they were working on a Geotagging API that would provide developers the ability to geotag Tweets. As of now, the release is official and they have announced that Twitter developers such as (quote from Twitter blog):

    BirdfeedSeesmic WebFoursquareGowallaTwidroidTwittelator Pro and others are already supporting this new functionality (go try them out now!) in interesting ways that include geotagging your tweets and displaying the location from where a tweet was posted. The added information provides valuable context when reading your friends tweets and allows you to better focus in on local conversations. Now you can find out what live music is playing right now in your neighborhood or what people visiting Checkpoint Charlie are saying today about the anniversary of the Berlin Wall. These are only the beginning and we are really looking forward to seeing the creative uses emerge from the developer community.”

    I’m not sure where Twitter is going to end up yet. Maybe it will morph into something different. The entire LBS landscape is really wide open right now. A lot of people will make a lot of money off of different LBS applications. Some will stick, most will not. The challenge for me (and you) is to decide which ones to invest our time in.

    Just this morning, I received an email invite from my son to join him on…

    Google Wave

    ….deep sigh.

    Thanks and see you next week.

    P.S. I received an email from Jon Sperling, who contributed an article on TIGER data earlier this Fall, with a link to a paper he co-wrote on using Twitter to “…demonstrate how to use Twitter to automatically obtain breaking news from the tweets posted by Twitter users, and to provide a map interface for reading this news, since the geographic location of the user as well as the geographic terms comprising the tweets play an important role in clustering tweets and establishing clusters’ geographic foci.”

  • Directions 2010: It’s the Economy, Stupid

    At the end of every year, I devote this column to Directions 2010 in which I discuss significant developments, trends, technologies, and companies in the GNSS industry.

    Two years ago, I wrote about the Year of the Who. Not GNSS technology; rather, the people and companies they run.

    Last year, I highlighted 2009 as being the Year of the Other GNSS. The little brother of GPS…GLONASS.

    I’ve thought a lot about this year’s column. Some have said that next year will be the Golden Year for GNSS with the launch of the first Block IIF satellite, possibly the launch of the first GLONASS-K satellite (broadcasting CDMA), launch of Japan’s first QZSS satellite, launch of a GAGAN geostationary satellite, yada, yada, yada.

    The problem with this, as I see it, is that these developments will have very little impact on GNSS users in 2010. All of them have been on the drawing board for years, all have been vetted, and most of them are behind schedule. In a nutshell, it’s beating a dead horse. How many times can one talk about Galileo? Even I get tired of writing about the next satellite launch, the next signal to be broadcast, the next GNSS to be developed, etc.

    From a GNSS technology perspective, do you know what excites me? Optimizing the current constellation of satellites that are already in orbit. That’s where the “rubber hits the road.” With a few tweaks of the GPS constellation, our “brownout” periods would largely disappear immediately. No waiting for new satellite launches, no waiting for new GPS receiver technology to purchase. Just like when Selective Availability (SA) was turned off…boom…an overnight difference. Of course, I know it’s not quite as easy as turning off SA, but I think you see my point.

    However, even though it’s likely that the Air Force will reconfigure the GPS constellation to reduce the GPS brownouts in 2010, that’s not the focus of this column (although it’s a close second).

    Nope. The statement that best defines the GNSS industry for 2010 is one I’ll borrow from Bill Clinton that he used during his campaign for the U.S. presidency in 1992…

    ”It’s the economy, stupid.”

    Why? The current economy is beating the tar out of the GNSS industry.

    Revenue for high-precision GPS/GNSS systems is down significantly. Revenues from Trimble’s Engineering & Construction division were down 22 percent in the third quarter compared to the same period last year. Revenues for Hemisphere GPS, a GPS manufacturer focused on the agriculture industry, were down 31 percent in the third quarter compared to the same period last year.

    When revenue decreases significantly, companies typically react by cutting costs. Some of the first expenses cut are research projects that can lead to revolutionary developments. Companies also review personnel requirements and subsequently reduce headcount.

    Decrease in corporate revenues also trickles down to the distribution channel. The GNSS distribution channel (surveying equipment dealers) have taken a big hit. Layoffs are prevalent and many dealers are reduced to operating with “skeleton crews.”

    In the service sector, I’ve heard from several companies that bid pricing on construction projects is coming in at 20 to 30 percent less than the pre-recession period and bid competition for each project has increased. This results in a lower profit margin for the successful bidder and, as a result, there is less money available in capital equipment budgets for contractors.

    On the flip side, the market for used surveying equipment is hot, GPS/GNSS equipment included. Companies and individuals looking to trade equipment for cash or going out of business altogether are pushing their equipment to the market, primarily using eBay. This flood of “fire-sale” surveying equipment contributes somewhat to the declining revenue for new GPS/GNSS equipment.

    It’s a vicious cycle that’s difficult to recover from.

    In 2005, economics Professor’s Hugh Patrick and David Weinstein from Columbia University and economics Professor Takatoshi Ito from the University of Tokyo wrote about “…a prolonged period of stagnation and malaise…Subpar growth, failing banks, plummeting real estate and stock prices, deflation, unprecedented unemployment, and huge government liabilities have persisted, despite extraordinary fiscal and monetary policy fixes.”

    It reads as though they were writing about today’s U.S. economy, but they were actually writing about the Japanese economy which has been stagnant since 1991. Their book is titled “Reviving Japan’s Economy.”

    It’s a little disconcerting to think about the U.S. recession lasting that long, but I do have a hard time seeing the light at the end of the tunnel. I think real estate prices will continue to depreciate and the effects of the commercial real estate market will reverberate through the economy for several years.

    Let’s face it: high-precision GNSS receivers are a luxury item for the most part. In some cases, the argument can be made that the investment has a ROI (Return on Investment) that justifies the capital expenditure. But in many instances, companies and individuals might decide to save the cash and forego the efficiency that GNSS equipment offers or continue using their legacy GPS equipment that may not be the most efficient technology, but it does the job.

    That, my friends, is the reason that the economy, and not a GNSS technology development or trend, will be the most significant factor in the GNSS industry in 2010.

     


    From the Mailbox

    We received a Letter to the Editor regarding my last column titled “As Loran Fades, Attention Shifts to DGPS and SBAS.” Following is the letter:

    As I read the title of this month’s Survey newsletter column, “As Loran Fades, Attention Shifts to DGPS and SBAS,” it came to my mind that there are many people around the world who do not recognize the difference between a position, navigation, and time (PNT) system and an augmentation of a PNT system — a difference that was not clearly pointed out.  I have heard many PNT users expound on how good an augmentation is and, to my amazement, how the augmentation could provide service despite a GNSS outage. I’ve stopped being surprised. After all, I still remember the days when Galileo was being touted as a backup to GPS.

    Unfortunately, the leadership worldwide has become decidingly less technical over the last decade, and without proper explanation from staffers (who have also become decidingly less technical), the point is lost.

    The simple fact is that augmentations are of little or no use if the system they augment is unavailable. Perhaps this point should be made, and made loudly and strongly — particularly in the case of the scheduled termination of Loran. The same holds for the respective differences between real-time navigation, long-term positioning, and time and frequency — distinctions, again, that are lost to many. While WAAS, NDGPS, and even HA-NDGPS are admirable efforts that highlight what a group of talented, dedicated engineers can do, maybe what we need is a PNT 101 course/flash card set for those “technically challenged” so they can better understand the ramifications of their decisions. It took me and millions of others five years to get a bachelor’s of engineering degree; we cannot expect the leadership to learn engineering overnight.

    I remember fondly the times when, as a junior engineer, I had five layers of management above me that all held engineering degrees. Today I ca
    n’t go up to any level and find a single one. What went wrong?  I do not know, but I do not think it bodes well for the world.

    In any event, best regards to GPS World, and Happy Holidays

    — a wistful engineer

     

    Thanks for the note.

    I believe there are some very smart people in the federal government running these programs. Sadly, I think the demise of programs like Loran are largely the result of political efforts, or lack thereof, rather than a lack of technical understanding. If no one is going to fight for the program, most likely it’s not going to be funded. Furthermore, I think most people agree, engineering educated or not, that GPS is a venerable system. However, it’s debatable whether Loran is a suitable back-up or not.

    Perhaps the title of my article was a bit misleading, too. I don’t think anyone would claim that GPS augmentation is a back-up for GPS. My point was that resources (energy and money) and focus would shift to GPS augmentation as it has become the replacement for Loran in the marine and aviation industries.

    — Eric

  • Who is Geospatial?

    It used to be relatively easy to compartmentalize what GIS was and who were the major players in the industry. It’s not so easy any longer.

    Take a look at the following graphic published in a market research abstract from Daratech, Inc., a firm from Cambridge, Massachusetts. When one thinks of traditional GIS software providers, this list covers the major ones. As you would surmise, ESRI is the top dog for pure-play GIS software sales.

    Intergraph #2? Naaaah. I don’t believe it. Last decade, Intergraph was trying to compete with ESRI in the pure-play GIS software business. But in 2000 Intergraph made a major strategic shift. It bailed out of the hardware business (thanks, in part, to litigation with Intel) and then began focusing on providing software and consulting for vertical markets. Next, after years of being a publicly traded company, Intergraph was “taken private” by Hellman & Friedman LLCTexas Pacific Group and JMI Equity. In 2010, it nearly reach $1B in revenue, the same revenue number it reached in 1990, 20 years earlier. It’s impressive considering the company significantly shifted its focus and exited the hardware business. But, the company isn’t a factor in the pure-play GIS software business any longer. It’s tough to try to compare it to ESRI, SmallworldMapInfo, and even Autodesk.

    Smallworld (GE Energy), Bentley, MapInfo (PB), and Autodesk offer pure-play GIS software. While the Daratech reports that ESRI has about 30 percent of the GIS software market, it’s a lot higher than that thanks to a grassroots distribution channel that reaches nearly every corner of the globe.

    One of the more interesting thoughts in looking at the list of GIS software vendors above is the GIS vs. CAD approach. Clearly, Autodesk, Intergraph, and Bentley design their software from the CAD perspective while ESRI, Smallworld, and MapInfo design their software from the world of GIS. With that in mind, it’s natural that when these companies think about expansion, the GIS-centric suppliers to want to invade the CAD market and for CAD-centric suppliers to want to invade the GIS market. This battle has been going on for many years with no company having the ability to become a dominant player in both CAD and GIS. This is not for lack of trying. Autodesk, who in my opinion is in the best position to invade the GIS space given its worldwide presence and heavy penetration in the AEC (architectural, engineering, construction) market, has plowed a ton of resource into their GIS offerings, it seems to have reached a plateau in terms of market share.

    Anyway, I digress. On to the next Daratech chart. The following graphic, according to Daratech, encompasses a larger “umbrella” than just GIS to include “data, geo-enabled engineering, GPS, photogrammetry, and remote sensing.”

    After viewing this chart, my first thought was “Where’s GoogleGeoEye/Spot Image/DigitalGlobe/RapidEye?” My intention is not to criticize Daratech, but to ask the question “Who is geospatial?” The answer is not clear.

    Whereas GIS is and will continue to be a highly technical profession in which the geospatial infrastructure is based, geospatial data and services are weaving their way into the lives of the consumer. Obviously, Mapquest/Google Earth/Bing Maps/Yahoo Maps paved the way and then were followed by GPS navigators. However, what will dwarf the MDAs, ESRIs, Autodesks, and Intergraphs of the world are when the wireless service providers (think mobile phones) really kick it in gear. Some already have. A company called TeleNav writes navigation software for mobile phones. TeleNav’s product is what Sprint sells to their customers for GPS navigation on their mobile phones for $10/month. Even in these dire economic times, TeleNav filed for an Initial Public Offering (IPO) last month. They are growing like crazy…~700 employees. Are they a geospatial services company? I think so. The Verizon VZ Navigator application written by Networks In Motion Inc. (NIM) boasts millions of paying subscribers. Let’s see….$10/month * 5 million subscribers = REAL MONEY. Not surprisingly, NIM was acquired just last week by TeleCommunication Systems for US$170M.

    Navigation applications are just the tip of the iceberg for mobile phone users. There is a ton of software development going on in the social networking arena, which is under the LBS (location-based services) umbrella. Social networking applications are going to be huge. Look at Loopt. Their application is available on AT&T, Sprint, Verizon, Metro PCS, T-Mobile, and Boost for $4/month. ABI Research estimates that the value of location-based social network companies like Loopt will be $3.3B by 2013.

    Of course, one can already see the writing on the wall. The $10/month price for a navigation application or $4/month for a social networking application won’t remain that high. As competition heats up, the giveaways and bundling will begin. That’s when the volume will really crank up into the hundreds of millions of users.

    Now,  I’m even confusing myself. Who is geospatial?